Shipment ETA & Dwell Decisions

Explore context-aware shipment ETA, calibrated uncertainty, late-arrival risk, and dwell-risk decision support.

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Serverless logistics lab that predicts shipment ETA from origin, destination, departure timing, lane history, facility dwell profiles, and reliability context. ETA v1 predicts a residual correction over a transparent heuristic, then uses held-out calibration residuals for a likely arrival range, P90 ETA, and operational late-arrival probability. Training and evaluation use disclosed synthetic FTL shipment history.

  • ETA Prediction (Gradient Boosting Residual v1)
  • 90% Likely Arrival Range + P90 ETA
  • Operational Cutoff Late-Risk Probability
  • Lane-Level Benchmark Evidence
  • Dwell Risk Scoring (P50/P90)
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